Reading the article below makes me wonder if giftedness at gambling be recognized or encouraged by parents. Or does one think of gambling as a zero sum that children should be discouraged from, even if they may be good at it. Games with an element of chance are a natural way to teach concepts of probability. Poker has substantial elements of chance and skill. The same could be said about investing.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/27/magazine/mag-27Poker-t.htmlOnline Poker's Big Winner
By JAY CASPIAN KANG
New York Times, March 25, 2011
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Daniel Lawrence Cates was born on Nov. 14, 1989, on the Virginia side of the Beltway, and he grew up nearby in Bowie, Md. His father works in a managerial position in a technology firm. His mother works as a manager at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing. He describes his childhood as �weird, a bit aloof and mostly spent alone.� Around age 6, he began to withdraw from the regular play of his classmates. �I was figuring out that my interests were different than the other kids� at school. I was never into fashion or politics or sports. So I began to spend most of my time by myself.� Most of this alone time was spent in the basement of his childhood home, where he discovered a �natural talent� for playing video games, especially Command and Conquer. Lillian Cates describes her son�s obsession with video games as �uncontrollable�: �When he was a kid, we tried to limit his video-game time and his computer time, but it was impossible.�
At Eleanor Roosevelt High School, part of the Washington area�s network of math-and-science magnet schools, Cates was a gifted, if somewhat unmotivated, student who routinely sneaked off to the school�s computer lab to play Minesweeper, the puzzle game that has come standard with Windows since the first Bush administration. During his junior year, he began playing in local live-action poker games held in the kitchens and living rooms of people whom he describes as �not really friends.� Despite the relatively low stakes involved, Cates managed to lose several thousand dollars over a period of three months. The losses alarmed his parents, who put a freeze on his savings account. Faced with a cash-flow problem and owing $600 to a fellow player, Cates took a job at McDonald�s. But he continued to play poker with a dogged mantra. �I knew that if I just kept working at poker, my game would vastly improve,� he said. �When I started playing Minesweeper, I thought it was inconceivable that someone could clear all the mines in 90 seconds. Then I kept working at it. Before I knew it, I had accomplished what I thought was impossible. The same thing happened with poker. When I started out playing low limits, I�d look up at a guy playing with $2,000 and think, How is he doing that? He must be so good. But I just kept working at it. Eventually, everything changed.�
Within 18 months, Cates went from routinely losing at local $5 games to winning at the highest stakes of online poker for anywhere between $10,000 and $500,000 per night. In 2010, his reported $5.5 million in online earnings was more than $1 million higher than the nearest competitor. Unlike other young poker millionaires who make the bulk of their money by winning televised tournaments � a proposition that, because of the high number of players and the unpredictability of their actions, involves roughly the same amount of luck as winning a small lottery � Cates earned his stake by grinding, the term used to describe the process of pressing a skill advantage over an extended period of time. Because poker is a game of high variance, where a significant difference in ability can be mitigated by a bad run of cards, a player�s Expected Value (E.V.) must be actualized over thousands of hands. Every year, a few dozen kids go on hot streaks and take a shot at the big time. Almost invariably, these kids are eventually ground down by higher caliber players. What made Cates�s run different wasn�t his total winnings or the speed with which he earned his millions. What caught the attention of the poker world was that the 20-year-old top online earner of 2010 won almost all of his money in head-to-head confrontations with poker�s elite.
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