Second, the district's math seems off. ITBS is a solid on-level assessment. It's well-respected but not meant to be particularly difficult. 95% Cogat plus 95% ITBS should yield much higher than top 1%. I have seen stats somewhere but can't recall that estimate IQ & achievement overlaps. Anyhow, my guess would have been 3% to 4% qualifying. I realize that not every district is huge like ours, but even using their 1% estimate to arrive at only 1 qualifying student (per grade?) would mean that there is only about 100 students total per grade in the whole district? Our elementary school (one of dozens in our district) had more than 150 students per grade.
Our entire district is about 930 students, K through 12. I estimate there are 2-4 classrooms of 15-24 students per grade. But here is the quote from the superintendent. "Typically, across the student population, only 1-2% of students are found to qualify as highly capable. In (our district), out of 46 nominations, one student will proceed to receive services."
Their math is definitely flawed, and this is where the inequity of the whole thing starts to irk me. Many of the brightest second graders I know weren't even nominated (parents and teachers were invited to nominate last June.)