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    Steve Hsu is a physics professor who also does research on intelligence. Below are some quotes from slides of a presentation he gave.

    http://duende.uoregon.edu/~hsu/talks/g_colloquium.pdf
    Investigating the genetic basis for intelligence
    and other quantitative traits
    Steve Hsu
    University of Oregon and BGI

    ***********************************************************

    General factor of intelligence

    SAT, GRE heavily g-loaded: high correlation with g or IQ;
    ”SAT is an IQ test”
    IQ: mean 100, SD 15 (normally distributed)
    SAT (M+V): mean 1000, SD  200 (1995 ”recentering”)

    *************************************************************

    The far tail

    Roe study (1950’s): 64 randomly selected eminent scientists had
    IQs much higher than the general population of science PhDs.
    Almost all of the eminent scientists in the sample scored above
    +(3-4) SD in at least one of M / V categories.
    Mean score in both categories was roughly +4 SD.
    Average for science PhDs around +2 SD, so eminent group
    highly atypical among scientists.
    Positive returns to IQ > +2 SD in scientific research?

    [The cited study is from the book "The Making of a Scientist" by Anne Roe]

    **********************************************************

    Your kids and regression

    Assuming parental midpoint of n SD above the population
    average, the kids’ IQ will be normally distributed about a mean
    which is around +.6n with residual SD of about 13 points. (The
    .6 could actually be anywhere in the range (.5, .7), but the SD
    doesn’t vary much from choice of empirical inputs.)
    So, e.g., for n = 4 (parental midpoint of 160 – very smart
    parents!), the mean for the kids would be 136 with only a few
    percent chance of any kid to surpass 160 (requires  2 SD
    fluctuation). For n = 3 (parental midpoint of 145) the mean for
    the kids would be 127 and the probability of exceeding 145 less
    than 10 percent.

    Last edited by Bostonian; 04/26/12 04:49 AM. Reason: changed link
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    It contains some howlers, but overall, not bad for a physicist.

    Moral of the story: Don't ask a physicist to teach you about a social science topic.

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    Striving to increase my rate of flow, and fight forum gloopiness. sick
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    Originally Posted by MegMeg
    It contains some howlers, but overall, not bad for a physicist.

    Moral of the story: Don't ask a physicist to teach you about a social science topic.

    What are the howlers?


    "To see what is in front of one's nose needs a constant struggle." - George Orwell
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    Really?! So he's saying that it is highly unlikely that children will be smarter than their parents? I wonder what his n= for this study. Hmmmm . . . skeptical. . .

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    Originally Posted by Pranava
    Really?! So he's saying that it is highly unlikely that children will be smarter than their parents? I wonder what his n= for this study. Hmmmm . . . skeptical. . .

    It's also clear that he didn't consult any teenagers about this. ALL of them are smarter than their parents, and have no qualms about telling you so...;)

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    Originally Posted by Pranava
    Really?! So he's saying that it is highly unlikely that children will be smarter than their parents? I wonder what his n= for this study. Hmmmm . . . skeptical. . .

    Because of regression to the mean, the children of parents with above-average IQs will usually have lower IQs than their parents (but still higher than average), and the children of parents with below-average IQs will usually have higher IQs than their parents (but still lower than average).



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    All three of my kids are smarter than me - just ask them! And they aren't even teens yet... they must be prodigies wink

    polarbear

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    I never had an IQ test but I can tell that my oldest is a carbon copy of me at twelve. My extended family concurs. I would be shocked if there were a significant difference in our IQs.

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    Yes. How you expect children's IQ to compare with their parents' depends heavily on your assumptions about the extent of genetic heritability, and (even if you think IQ is mostly genetically based) about exactly how its genetic basis works, and about how assortative mating works. (I think assortative mating, the fact that people tend to get together with people like them, has a strong influence on the environment a couple provides for their children, but I also think it's plausible that it has an influence on the genetics. There may be thousands of SNPs accounting for the genetic component of IQ, but I bet the sets of those SNPs held by parents are not independent.)

    Just from observation, though, the idea that it's rare for children of highly intelligent parents to be as intelligent as their parents doesn't seem at all plausible to me, at least when we're talking about parents both highly successful in the scientific/technical domain. It would be interesting to see research that compared children of couples both with similar IQs who work in the same field and have other indications of having "the same kind of" high IQ with children of couples with similar IQ numbers but different "kinds", actually.


    ETA: we've talked about this often on this site. Here is a post I wrote last year to explain that "regression to the mean" doesn't work the way people sometimes think. Short version: if you think children's IQ will regress towards the mean of the population, you have to ask yourself "which population?" Humans? Primates? Mammals? PhD scientists?

    Last edited by ColinsMum; 05/10/12 02:16 AM.

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